SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Bolivia |
| 67.31% | 23.3% | 9.39% |
| Both teams to score 28.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% | 84.43% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% | 19.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% | 51.34% |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.21% | 64.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.09% | 92.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Bolivia |
| 1-0 @ 20.64% 2-0 @ 16.88% 3-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.61% Total : 67.3% | 0-0 @ 12.61% 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 1.94% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 9.39% |
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