Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Dresden in this match.
