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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
Dynamo Dresden


Carlson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Konigsdorffer (61')
Schroter (42')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Dynamo Dresden.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Dresden in this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawDynamo Dresden
36.62%26.53%36.85%
Both teams to score 52.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9%74.1%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.18%
Dynamo Dresden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%63.01%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 36.62%
    Dynamo Dresden 36.85%
    Draw 26.52%
Erzgebirge AueDrawDynamo Dresden
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.62%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.85%

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