Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SV Darmstadt 98 in this match.