Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
