Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Eintracht Braunschweig had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Eintracht Braunschweig win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erzgebirge Aue would win this match.