Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
