Nuremberg
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Hack (36')
Geis (57'), Hack (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nazarov (77'), Samson (90+4')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Nuremberg and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nuremberg in this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
46.69%	25.74%	27.57%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11%

51.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36%

73.65%

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79%

22.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37%

55.63%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5%

33.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86%

70.14%

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 46.68%

Erzgebirge Aue 27.57%

Draw 25.74%

Nuremberg	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.57%