Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
36.45% | 27.98% | 35.57% |
Both teams to score 47.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% | 58.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.18% | 78.82% |
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% | 66.76% |
Dynamo Dresden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% | 31.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% | 67.41% |
Score Analysis |
FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.57% |
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