Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
