Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.