Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
