Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.