Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
