Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.