Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
