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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 0
Ingolstadt

Hazard (72', 81')
Meunier (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rohl (13'), Roseler (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
65.94%19.14%14.91%
Both teams to score 54.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74%39.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41%61.59%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9%11.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5%35.5%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61%38.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.94%
    FC Ingolstadt 04 14.91%
    Draw 19.14%
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 7.22%
4-0 @ 4.21%
4-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-0 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.94%
1-1 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.14%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-1 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.91%

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