Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
