Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamburger SV | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
51.03% ( -0.56) | 22.59% ( 0.04) | 26.38% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% ( 0.27) | 38.92% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% ( 0.28) | 61.24% ( -0.28) |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% ( -0.1) | 15.44% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.72% ( -0.18) | 44.28% ( 0.18) |
Hansa Rostock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( 0.53) | 27.59% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( 0.67) | 63.12% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.03% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.38% |
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