Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
