Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.