Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
