Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.