Dynamo Dresden
4 - 1
Hamburger SV

Stark (3'), Becker (16'), Daferner (53'), Mai (90+4' pen.)
Lowe (23'), Knipping (83'), Will (87'), Sohm (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Onana (89')
Kittel (56'), Leistner (76'), Wood (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Dynamo Dresden and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Hamburger SV
25.72%	23.08%	51.2%

Both teams to score 58.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22%

41.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81%

64.19%

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4%

29.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.37%

65.63%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.58%

16.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.91%

46.09%

Score Analysis

Dynamo Dresden 25.73%

Hamburger SV 51.2%

Draw 23.08%

Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.51% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.21% Total : 25.73%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.2%