Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamburger SV in this match.