Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.