St Pauli
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Diamantakos (22'), Veerman (41')
Skiri Oestigaard (11'), Penney (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonther (74')
Rasmussen (45+1'), Strauss (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
49.95%	25.08%	24.97%

Both teams to score 51.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96%

51.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1%

72.9%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55%

20.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1%

52.9%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81%

35.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06%

71.94%

Score Analysis

St Pauli 49.95%

Erzgebirge Aue 24.97%

Draw 25.07%

St Pauli	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.95%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.97%