Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.19) 
