SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | SC Paderborn |
57.13% ( 0.07) | 21.95% ( 0.06) | 20.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.38) | 41.88% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.38) | 64.28% ( 0.39) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.1) | 14.45% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( -0.21) | 42.41% ( 0.22) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0.32) | 33.78% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( -0.35) | 70.44% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.13% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.92% |
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