Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
