Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.