Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
