Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Eintracht Braunschweig had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Eintracht Braunschweig win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
