Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
