Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.