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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
H

Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Heidenheim

Cacutalua (54'), Testroet (79')
Strauss (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mohr (86' pen.)
Theuerkauf (54'), Mainka (56')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Heidenheim.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawHeidenheim
35.18%26.93%37.89%
Both teams to score 51.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86%54.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45%75.55%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66%29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69%65.31%
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73%63.27%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 35.18%
    Heidenheim 37.89%
    Draw 26.93%
Erzgebirge AueDrawHeidenheim
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.89%


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