Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Kruger (2')
Gonther (41'), Riese (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Serra (9')
Muhling (13'), Thesker (43'), Meffert (90+2')
Neumann (15')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Holstein Kiel
29.17%	23.34%	47.49%

Both teams to score 60.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61%

40.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.23%

62.77%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59%

26.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42%

61.58%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.73%

17.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39%

47.61%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 29.17%

Holstein Kiel 47.49%

Draw 23.34%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.17%	1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.01% Total : 47.49%