Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.