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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
FD

Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Dusseldorf

Hartherz (16' og.), Muhling (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Meffert (59' og.)
Bodzek (52'), Danso (71'), Kownacki (73')
Danso (86')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
34.39%23.61%42%
Both teams to score 62.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.59%39.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.25%61.76%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19%22.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48%56.52%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88%19.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25%50.75%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 34.39%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 42%
    Draw 23.61%
Holstein KielDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.39%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.87%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42%


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