Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.