Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
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