SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Nuremberg |
34.17% ( -1.12) | 23.86% ( -0.12) | 41.98% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 61.46% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( 0.3) | 40.65% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.31) | 63.04% ( -0.31) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.48) | 23.51% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.69) | 57.54% ( 0.69) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.69) | 19.64% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( 1.11) | 51.61% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.98% |
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