SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Elversberg |
37.8% ( -0.15) | 24.53% ( -0.12) | 37.67% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.57% ( 0.58) | 43.43% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( 0.57) | 65.83% ( -0.57) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.18) | 22.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.44% ( 0.27) | 56.56% ( -0.27) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.4) | 22.9% ( -0.4) |
