SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Elversberg |
37.8% ( -0.15) | 24.53% ( -0.12) | 37.67% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.57% ( 0.58) | 43.43% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( 0.57) | 65.83% ( -0.57) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.18) | 22.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.27) | 56.56% ( -0.27) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.4) | 22.9% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.59) | 56.66% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.8% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.67% |
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