Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.06) 
