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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
36.12% ( 0.47) | 23.62% ( 0.22) | 40.25% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( -0.99) | 39.12% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -1.05) | 61.45% ( 1.05) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.21) | 21.76% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( -0.32) | 54.94% ( 0.32) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.73) | 19.77% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -1.19) | 51.81% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 40.25% |
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