SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
41.58% ( 0.52) | 22.47% ( -0.03) | 35.95% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 67.22% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.68% ( 0.07) | 33.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.91% ( 0.08) | 55.08% ( -0.08) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.24) | 16.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0.43) | 46.72% ( -0.43) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.2) | 19.22% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( -0.34) | 50.92% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.95% |
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