SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hamburger SV |
33.31% ( 0.03) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 44.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 67.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.05) | 33.15% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.06) | 54.9% ( 0.07) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.01) | 20.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( -0.02) | 52.92% ( 0.02) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.04) | 15.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.37% ( -0.07) | 44.63% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 44.41% |
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