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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2021 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
St Pauli

Testroet (73')
Riese (56'), Breitkreuz (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zander (2', 56'), Zalazar (49')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawSt Pauli
39.04%26.2%34.75%
Both teams to score 53.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96%73.03%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39%60.61%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 39.04%
    St Pauli 34.75%
    Draw 26.2%
Erzgebirge AueDrawSt Pauli
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.75%

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