Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.39) 
0.16) 
