Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
0.53) 
-0.07) 
