Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.24) 
