Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.