Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
